Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 9.850542 11.286665 12.814438 14.555878 16.480902 18.538833 20.900149
2025-03-02 7.527694 9.447799 11.635171 14.291970 17.411219 20.936535 25.200286
2025-03-09 6.019697 8.218557 10.883939 14.307258 18.538504 23.546629 29.867835
2025-03-16 4.812063 7.124796 10.097925 14.117846 19.320854 25.733302 34.128695
2025-03-23 4.217607 6.703762 10.065650 14.811468 21.190636 29.312436 40.257719
2025-03-30 3.574513 6.100235 9.690406 14.973636 22.333459 31.991074 45.355144
2025-04-06 2.874817 5.291479 8.910790 14.468245 22.492398 33.339974 48.742005
2025-04-13 2.289664 4.553257 8.126088 13.846179 22.395088 34.282842 51.572929
2025-04-20 2.063534 4.361341 8.138950 14.381967 23.956108 37.549302 57.669688
2025-04-27 1.972110 4.384970 8.486796 15.441980 26.330144 42.045093 65.627893
2025-05-04 1.839423 4.310382 8.657344 16.221543 28.308549 46.039135 73.007463
2025-05-11 1.610923 4.015459 8.417235 16.306971 29.209620 48.483170 78.239662
2025-05-18 1.346517 3.610336 7.950669 15.997765 29.505487 50.094612 82.410927
2025-05-25 1.135627 3.275513 7.569294 15.794268 29.947536 51.934632 86.980301
2025-06-01 0.986290 3.045754 7.354834 15.856208 30.812315 54.439491 92.609867
2025-06-08 0.833999 2.775525 7.025300 15.675690 31.249881 56.284118 97.290853
2025-06-15 0.787096 2.757357 7.203541 16.443876 33.335335 60.796285 106.183429
2025-06-22 0.696294 2.604956 7.081230 16.628293 34.411234 63.725349 112.707706
2025-06-29 0.565252 2.307985 6.606031 16.083158 34.161267 64.486069 115.853100
2025-07-06 0.448097 2.014629 6.093338 15.408504 33.623661 64.732117 118.166488
2025-07-13 0.418158 1.986128 6.194338 15.993122 35.414394 68.906074 126.866413
2025-07-20 0.419652 2.062973 6.557122 17.146839 38.309337 75.019401 138.837997
2025-07-27 0.404461 2.079026 6.770616 17.994367 40.659355 80.269383 149.523481